Yield Curve · What the curve is telling you
Treasury yield curve (1M → 30Y) with a plain-English read of the regime, recession signal, real-vs-breakeven decomposition of the 10Y move, and Fed-funds context. All series are FRED daily constant-maturity Treasury data.
Fetching DGS2/5/10/30 + DFEDTARU from FRED and classifying 2s10s moves…
Fetching DGS1MO…DGS30, DFII10, T10YIE, SOFR from FRED + computing curve regime, decomposition, and tenor history…